Modeling South Korean Citizens’ Quantification of COVID-19 Vaccination and Infection Risks Using Benchmark Values
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During the COVID-19 pandemic, citizens have had to make new decisions about vaccination and social contact based on their personal risk estimates and the risk estimates of experts and governments. We analyzed survey data with 50 participants and interview data with three participants to model how South Korean citizens quantify risks associated with COVID-19 vaccination and infection and the severity and level of concern they associated with these percentages. We found participants’ quantifications for COVID-19 risks and their meanings for their estimated risks are substantially different than experts. Participants used benchmarks such as 10% risk and 50% risk to estimate and reason about their COVID-19 risks.